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Setting Caps on Out-of-Network Hospital Payments: A Low-Intensity Regulatory Intervention for Reducing Hospital Prices Overall

Pedestrian in mask walks by emergency room doors

A pedestrian walks past a hospital emergency room entrance in New York on Dec. 13, 2021. When a hospital demands an in-network rate increase, health plans must compare the cost of agreeing to it versus canceling the hospital’s contract and paying much higher prices for members to use the hospital on an out-of-network basis — principally through the emergency room. Photo: Wang Ying/Xinhua via Getty Images

A pedestrian walks past a hospital emergency room entrance in New York on Dec. 13, 2021. When a hospital demands an in-network rate increase, health plans must compare the cost of agreeing to it versus canceling the hospital’s contract and paying much higher prices for members to use the hospital on an out-of-network basis — principally through the emergency room. Photo: Wang Ying/Xinhua via Getty Images

Toplines
  • Evidence from the Medicare Advantage program demonstrates that using price caps on out-of-network hospital services indirectly influences negotiated rates for in-network services

  • Caps on prices for out-of-network hospital care represent a low-intensity regulatory intervention that can produce in-network price reductions without the need to regulate in-network rates directly

Toplines
  • Evidence from the Medicare Advantage program demonstrates that using price caps on out-of-network hospital services indirectly influences negotiated rates for in-network services

  • Caps on prices for out-of-network hospital care represent a low-intensity regulatory intervention that can produce in-network price reductions without the need to regulate in-network rates directly

Abstract

  • Issue: Hospitals’ negotiating leverage with commercial insurers and self-funded health plans has led to high and rapidly rising hospital prices. This had led to escalating interest in addressing high prices, including through government intervention in cases where markets have failed.
  • Goal: To propose a model of price limits, or caps, on out-of-network hospital services and describe the characteristics, benefits, and limitations of such an approach.
  • Method: Review of published literature and analysis of existing models.
  • Key Findings: Evidence from the Medicare Advantage program and various state legislative initiatives demonstrate that the use of price caps on out-of-network hospital services indirectly influences in-network negotiated rates. Basing the out-of-network caps on a fixed external benchmark, such as Medicare fee-for-service prices, can help constrain in-network negotiated rates.
  • Conclusion: Out-of-network price caps on hospital services may be a straightforward, low-intensity regulatory intervention for reducing in-network prices without direct regulation of in-network rates. As such, it could help improve insurers’ leverage in hospital–insurer price negotiations.

Introduction

Given the extremely high and rapidly rising hospital prices that commercial insurers pay in the United States, prominent health policy experts are now calling for some form of hospital price regulation.1 In particular, a recent proposal to regulate provider prices called for the establishment of price caps (regulated upper dollar limits) on the highest commercial prices along with direct government regulation of provider rate increases.2

Although such a rate regulatory approach has the potential to constrain hospital price growth, a lower-intensity regulatory strategy also can achieve this goal. Capping prices of out-of-network hospital services only, with gradual reductions to those cap levels over time, may also reduce in-network negotiated rates. Hospitals — stand-alone facilities as well as hospitals within health systems — have long exercised their ability to demand large in-network rate increases by threatening to terminate their health plan contracts. Most hospitals use this negotiating strategy to retain their in-network status at high prices. This issue brief discusses a way to reverse the out-of-network negotiating leverage that hospitals currently have.

How Greater Hospital Negotiating Leverage Affects the Market

The U.S. has not had a functionally competitive, efficient private health care market for many decades. Its dysfunction has been greatly exacerbated over the past 20 years by two interrelated factors. The first is the consolidation of hospitals into health systems, likely stimulated by the dominance of managed care in the 1980s and 1990s. Since the early 2000s, this consolidation has allowed hospitals to use their market dominance to extract large rate increases from private payers.

The second factor is the bargaining power of large health systems to set inflated charges for out-of-network care. Many hospitals back up their demands for high in-network rate increases with threats of canceling their existing contracts, which would force the plans to pay high out-of-network charges — often more than 500 percent of Medicare payments.3 This circumstance, which some researchers have referred to as hospitals’ “dynamic negotiating leverage,” is one of most debilitating instances of market failure in U.S. health care.4

When faced with a hospital’s demands for outlandish in-network rate increases, health plans must compare the financial cost of agreeing to the increase versus canceling the hospital contract and paying much higher prices (approximating the hospital’s posted charges) for care to members who use the hospital on an out-of-network basis — principally through the facility’s emergency room. If a substantial proportion of a plan’s members continue to use this hospital, a plan may be reluctant to deny the hospital’s in-network rate demand, because doing so could result in increased total plan costs and a diminished network.5 An example of the negotiating dilemma that plans face in their negotiations over in-network rates is shown in Exhibit 1.


Exhibit 1. Dilemma Facing Health Plan Confronted with Hospital’s Demand for In-Network Rate Increase

A hypothetical health plan currently pays its contracted hospitals 250 percent of Medicare rates. Hospital A suddenly demands an immediate 10 percent increase to its in-network rates with no demonstrated need or justification. The hospital’s posted charges (and the amounts it requires out-of-network insurers to pay for care to the insurer’s members) equals 450 percent of Medicare.

If the hospital goes without a contract, 30 percent of plan members will continue to use this facility, primarily on an emergency basis. The plan can divert the remaining 70 percent of members, previously using the hospital, to other in-network hospitals at the original contracted rate of 250 percent of Medicare.

Scenario 1: Grant the hospital its 10 percent demanded rate increase to its in-network contracted rates.

Scenario 2: Hospital cancels its contract with the health plan, and the plan pays the hospital billed charges for members continuing to use the hospital.

Murray_setting_out_of_network_hospital_payment_caps_Exhibit_01_table

Given these circumstances, the health plan concludes it would be more cost-effective to grant Hospital A its demanded 10 percent in-network rate increase (Scenario 1). That is because the alternative scenario, letting the hospital go out-of-network, would result in the plan paying 310 percent of Medicare for patients who previously used this hospital.

Based on the assumptions used in this example, Hospital A could theoretically demand an in-network negotiated rate increase as high as 24 percent — from 250 percent to 310 percent of Medicare — before it would make economic sense for the plan to refuse the hospital’s rate request and terminate the contract. This potential in-network negotiated rate increase is a marker of Hospital A’s dynamic negotiating leverage over the plan.


Out-of-Network Price Caps Can Help Insurers Negotiate Lower In-Network Rates

The imposition of out-of-network price caps can counteract the dynamic illustrated in Exhibit 1 and increase health plans’ leverage in two ways. First, with prices regulated, hospitals are less motivated to remain out of network, giving insurers additional negotiating leverage that could result in lower in-network rates.

Second, once an out-of-network price cap has been established, an insurer has the ability to break off negotiations with a hospital and pay only the capped price for services rendered on an out-of-network basis. Having this leverage, the insurer can now insist on in-network price levels that are at or near the level of the out-of-network price cap.6

These indirect impacts of out-of-network caps on in-network negotiated rates seem to occur in the private Medicare Advantage market. Thanks to a federal prohibition on the balance-billing of patients and a statutory requirement that out-of-network providers be paid at traditional Medicare (fee-for-service) price levels, Advantage plans have been able to negotiate in-network rates at or very close to traditional Medicare rates.7 Other studies indicate that states with caps on out-of-network billing, established through comprehensive legislation to combat surprise billing, have experienced drops in in-network negotiated prices.8

While the No Surprises Act should help reduce in-network negotiated rates by placing limits on out-of-network prices (see box), more action is needed to counter hospitals’ negotiating leverage.9 Introducing state-legislated price caps for out-of-network services, at or slightly below current in-network negotiated price median levels, could restore negotiating balance to the commercial market. Moreover, a system of gradually reduced out-of-network price caps, from the initial levels recommended above, could further enhance plan negotiating leverage and result in reductions in in-network negotiated rates over time.

A system of gradually reduced out-of-network price caps also would allow a state to monitor any associated impacts on patient access, quality of care, and provider financial condition. States may also be attracted to this approach because, from a regulatory standpoint, it is the least intrusive with regard to negotiations between providers and insurers (regulated price caps would apply to out-of-network care only, a small segment of the market).

Potential Impact of the Federal No Surprises Act

Passage of the federal No Surprises Act, along with the development of an interim final rule outlining the process for determining how much a patient’s health plan will pay an out-of-network provider, will have implications for a plan’s in-network negotiated rate levels. The interim rule’s use of plans’ in-network negotiated median rates for a given region as the payment standard is expected to cause the following:

  • In-network negotiated rates will converge with a plan’s overall median in-network negotiated rate level, the new standard for out-of-network payments per the interim final rule.
  • Growth in in-network negotiated median rates will be moderate because the standard for out-of-network payments will inflate from 2019 levels by the rate of growth of the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), which in recent years has been substantially lower than provider payment rate growth.10

Although there are concerns about providers complying with the new limits imposed on surprise bills, the No Surprises Act may produce limited overall reductions in each plan’s in-network negotiated median rate levels (and slower growth over time). Still, the law will tend to bake in what are already extremely high negotiated rate levels, particularly in regions with the highest concentration of providers. In contrast, a strategy of continuously declining out-of-network cap levels has the potential to gradually lower in-network negotiated rate levels over time.

If the Medicare Advantage experience is any guide, the presence of caps on out-of-network prices may allow insurers to negotiate in-network rates at or near the level of the out-of-network caps. And as noted, a system of gradually reduced price caps could potentially allow plans to insist on decreases to in-network rate levels if a state reduces cap levels below previously negotiated rates.

Out-of-Network Caps Could Generate Sizeable In-Network Rate Reductions

A 2020 RAND study showed that establishing an out-of-network cap at 200 percent of Medicare payment could potentially realize $81 billion in spillover savings on in-network negotiated hospital rates (7% of total commercial spending).11 Similar analyses could be performed by states to determine the most appropriate level for the initial establishment of out-of-network caps and a schedule of potential future reductions to out-of-network cap levels. States could establish caps statewide or within various homogeneous regions, starting at levels slightly above current in-network negotiated rates, and then gradually lower caps. This gradual implementation approach would enable states to monitor impact on hospital profitability, patient access, and patient quality of care.

Solvency Concerns Related to Reduced In-Network Negotiated Hospital Rates

Some have argued that the use of rate regulatory strategies to limit health care prices may result in debilitating reductions in hospitals’ profitability, which could impact their ability to provide high-quality care.12 However, research on hospitals facing rate pressure in rate regulatory systems, such as in Maryland’s unique all-payer hospital rate-setting system, shows that hospitals respond by improving their operating efficiency to achieve desired levels of profitability without compromising quality.13 Moreover, many nonprofit health systems, aided by market power to dictate prices, have amassed large surpluses in the form of cash and investments and have ample resources to invest in quality improvement if they find competitive reasons to do so.14

What Benchmark Should Be Used?

Potential benchmark standards to use when establishing out-of-network caps include either a multiple of Medicare prices (for example, 200%) or health plans’ in-network median rates. There are several advantages and disadvantages to each of these approaches (see Appendix). While some have raised concerns about the use of Medicare prices as benchmarks for commercial payment models, commercially negotiated in-network rates appear to vary widely.15 This variation raises grave doubts about the viability of using of these negotiated rate medians as benchmarks for any rate regulatory model applied to the private sector.

What Regulatory Authority Is Required to Implement a System of Out-of-Network Caps?

Relative to other pricing models, setting caps on out-of-network prices would not require the development of an elaborate administrative apparatus to implement, enforce, and oversee the program. These caps would apply only to a small subset of hospital prices and only indirectly affect in-network negotiated rates. This system could be implemented by a state law that makes it illegal for a hospital to charge, or a payer to pay more than, the regional out-of-network cap. Hospital CEOs and plan administrators would be required to certify they were complying with these limitations under penalty of perjury and potential civil monetary penalties. Consumers and state watchdog organizations would be motivated to report instances of noncompliance, making this approach administratively simple to implement.

Conclusion

Given the negotiating dynamics present in the commercial market, the development of price caps on out-of-network hospital prices would help private plans negotiate lower in-network rates with hospitals. A system of gradually declining out-of-network price caps may further enhance insurers’ ability to negotiate actual reductions in in-network rates. Payment mechanisms that place concerted downward pressure on hospital prices and spending will induce hospitals to improve their operating efficiency.

Moreover, a legislated system of gradually reduced out-of-network price caps also can enable states to monitor the impacts of this regulatory strategy on hospital financial performance, patient access, and overall quality of care. In short, out-of-network caps represent a low-intensity regulatory intervention that can produce in-network price reductions without the need to regulate in-network rates directly.


Appendix. Pros and Cons of Different Benchmark Standards for Out-of-Network Caps

Murray_setting_out_of_network_hospital_payment_caps_appendix
NOTES
  1. Maximilian J. Pany, Michael E. Chernew, and Leemore S. Dafny, “Regulating Hospital Prices Based on Market Concentration Is Likely to Leave High-Price Hospitals Unaffected,” Health Affairs 40, no. 9 (Sept. 2021): 1386–94; Martin Gaynor, What to Do About Health-Care Markets? Policies to Make Health-Care Markets Work (Hamilton Project, Mar. 2020); and Tim Greaney, Invigorating Competition in Health Care Markets: Is Rate Regulation Needed? (Stigler Center for the Study of the Economy and the State, University of Chicago Booth School of Business, June 2021).
  2. Michael E. Chernew, Leemore S. Dafny, and Maximilian J. Pany, A Proposal to Cap Provider Prices and Price Growth in the Commercial Health-Care Market (Hamilton Project, Mar. 2020).
  3. Robert Murray, “Hospital Charges and the Need for a Maximum Price Obligation Rule for Emergency Department and Out-of-Network Care,” Health Affairs Forefront (blog), May 16, 2013; and Thomas M. Selden, “Differences Between Public and Private Hospital Payment Rates Narrowed, 2012–16,” Health Affairs 39, no.1 (Jan. 2020): 94–99.
  4. Erin Lindsey Duffy, Christopher M. Whaley, and Chapin White, The Price and Spending Impacts of Limits on Payments to Hospitals for Out-of-Network Care (RAND Corporation, Mar. 2020).
  5. This dynamic was demonstrated empirically in Glenn Melnick and Katya Fonkych, “An Empirical Analysis of Hospital ED Pricing Power,” American Journal of Managed Care 26, no. 3 (Mar. 2020): 105–10.
  6. Chernew, Dafny, and Pany, Proposal to Cap Provider Prices, 2020; and Matthew Fiedler, Capping Prices or Creating a Public Option: How Would They Change What We Pay for Health Care? (Brookings Institution, Nov. 2020).
  7. Robert A. Berenson et al., “Why Medicare Advantage Plans Pay Hospitals Traditional Medicare Prices,” Health Affairs 34, no. 8 (Aug. 2015): 1289–95; and Laurence C. Baker et al., “Medicare Advantage Plans Pay Hospitals Less Than Traditional Medicare Pays,” Health Affairs 35, no. 8 (Aug. 2016): 1444–51.
  8. Ambar La Forgia et al., “Association of Surprise-Billing Legislation with Prices Paid to In-Network and Out-of-Network Anesthesiologists in California, Florida, and New York: An Economic Analysis,” JAMA Internal Medicine 181, no. 10 (Oct. 1, 2021): 1324–31.
  9. This new law protects consumers from financial liability beyond normal in-network cost sharing when they receive emergency services from an out-of-network facility or provider. See Jack Hoadley and Kevin Lucia, “New Surprise Billing Regulations Create a Dispute Resolution Process Designed to Decrease the Risk of Higher Prices and Premiums for Consumers,” To the Point (blog), Commonwealth Fund, Nov. 4, 2021.
  10. Congressional Budget Office “Cost Estimate: H.R. 2328, Reauthorizing and Extending America’s Community Health Act,” Sept. 18, 2019.
  11. Duffy, Whaley, and White, Price and Spending Impacts, 2020.
  12. Craig Garthwaite, Christopher Ody, and Amanda Starc, Endogenous Quality Investments in the U.S. Hospital Market, NBER Working Paper No. w27440 (National Bureau for Economic Research, June 2020, revised Dec. 2021).
  13. Medicare Payment Advisory Committee, Report to The Congress: Medicare Payment Policy (MedPAC, Mar. 2021); and Robert B. Murray and Robert A. Berenson, Hospital Rate Setting Revisited: Dumb Price Fixing or a Smart Solution to Provider Pricing Power and Delivery Reform? (Urban Institute, Nov. 2015).
  14. Nancy Kane et al., “Why Policymakers Should Use Audited Financial Statements to Assess Health Systems’ Financial Health,” Journal of Health Care Finance 48, no. 3 (Summer 2021).
  15. Chernew, Dafny, and Pany, Proposal to Cap Provider Prices, 2020.

Publication Details

Date

Contact

Robert Murray, President, Global Health Payment LLC

[email protected]

Citation

Robert Murray and Jack Keane, Setting Caps on Out-of-Network Hospital Payments: A Low-Intensity Regulatory Intervention for Reducing Hospital Prices Overall (Commonwealth Fund, May 2022). https://doi.org/10.26099/tvdr-1w88