Abstract
- Issue: Enrollment churn is common in Medicaid; one in 10 enrollees lose and regain coverage within 12 months. Churn disrupts people’s access to health care and creates administrative burden and cost for states.
- Goal: Identify potential federal policy actions to reduce Medicaid enrollment churn and improve continuity of coverage.
- Methods: Scan of state policy databases to identify approaches to reducing Medicaid churn; literature review to evaluate the effects of states’ approaches on churn, administrative burden, and cost.
- Key Findings: Providing uninterrupted Medicaid coverage for at least 12 months significantly reduces churn, states’ administrative burden, and cost to states and patients. Continuous eligibility is also associated with improved health care access and outcomes. Other strategies to reduce churn include automated coverage renewals, outreach to prevent procedural disenrollments, and in-person assistance with coverage renewals and transitions.
- Conclusion: Congress has options for reducing Medicaid churn: adopt 12-month continuous eligibility for adults; approve a state plan option for multiyear continuous eligibility for children; adopt new requirements to increase automated renewals; and increase federal funding to expand in-person assistance. Policies included in the House budget reconciliation bill, however, would increase churn, e.g., by requiring eligibility renewal every six months instead of every year for adults covered under Medicaid expansion.
Introduction
Medicaid is an essential source of health coverage for one in five Americans, providing access to care for low-income families, communities of color, people with disabilities, and other underserved populations.1 Evidence shows that people with Medicaid coverage have better health outcomes, fewer hospitalizations and emergency room (ER) visits, and lower mortality rates than people without any coverage.2
Medicaid enrollment “churn” occurs when enrollees lose and regain coverage over the course of a year. Unfortunately, churn is common in Medicaid: the typical enrollee is covered for less than 10 months, and 10 percent of enrollees lose and regain Medicaid within 12 months.3 Medicaid churn occurs for two key reasons:
- Household income fluctuation is common among low-income populations. These include hourly and seasonal workers, young adults, individuals leaving incarceration, and households with young children.4 Among parents working hourly jobs, 70 percent to 80 percent have erratic schedules, causing income fluctuations throughout the year.5 One study found that 74 percent of individuals in the lowest income quintile have a more than 30 percent month-to-month change in total income.6 These income fluctuations may cause low-income individuals to lose and regain Medicaid eligibility several times a year.
- People face numerous barriers when they attempt to renew Medicaid. Most Medicaid disenrollments occur when individuals — who may still be eligible for Medicaid — lose coverage because they did not receive a renewal notice, did not understand the process, or did not respond within the required time frame (such as 10 days).7 These procedural disenrollments occur frequently, and account for approximately 70 percent of disenrollments since the expiration — or “unwinding” — of the continuous coverage requirement that Congress adopted in response to COVID-19.8
Churn disrupts people’s access to health care and increases the administrative burden on state Medicaid agencies.9 Loss of Medicaid coverage, even if temporary, results in people forgoing necessary preventive services, medications, and continuous care for chronic illnesses.10 Unstable coverage also leads to more hospitalizations and ER visits,11 and creates heightened stress for people as they navigate reenrollment.
The pandemic-era continuous coverage requirement, which applied to all Medicaid enrollees, expired in April 2023. Since then, Congress has required states to provide 12-month continuous eligibility for children in Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) beginning in 2024.12 However, there currently is no federal requirement or state plan option for continuous eligibility for adults, and no state plan option to expand continuous eligibility for children beyond 12 months.
Instead, the FY 2025 House Energy and Commerce Committee’s budget reconciliation bill includes policies that would increase Medicaid enrollment churn by requiring states to renew eligibility for adults covered under Medicaid expansion every six months instead of annually.13 The bill also would prohibit the Health and Human Services secretary from implementing or enforcing Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) regulations that streamline Medicaid renewals for seniors and people with disabilities.14
In this brief, we review the evidence supporting the benefits of continuous eligibility for enrollees and states. We also identify policy actions that Congress could take to ensure stable coverage for the nation’s low-income and underserved populations.
Key Findings
The Importance of Continuous Medicaid Eligibility
The benefits of continuous eligibility, with Medicaid enrollees maintaining uninterrupted coverage regardless of changes in income or other circumstances throughout the year, are well documented:
Continuous eligibility is associated with less churn and fewer uninsured individuals. The temporary federal continuous coverage requirement during the pandemic significantly reduced churn and prevented more than 300,000 Medicaid enrollees from becoming uninsured each month.15 Researchers estimate that continuous Medicaid eligibility would reduce churn by 30 percent and result in 267,000 fewer uninsured adults monthly.16
Prior to implementation of the children’s federal 12-month continuous eligibility requirement, children in states that provided continuous eligibility were significantly less likely to be uninsured (8% vs. 12%) and to experience gaps in coverage (11% vs. 16%).17 Continuous eligibility for children is estimated to have reduced the number of uninsured children by 34,000 each month.18
Continuous eligibility also would eliminate churn that results from data checks for changes in income between annual renewals.19 States conducting these checks have substantially higher churn rates.20 As of May 2024, 34 states were not planning to resume data checks following expiration of the pandemic-era continuous coverage requirement.21
Continuous eligibility reduces state administrative burden and cost. Disenrolling and reenrolling an individual within one year is estimated to cost between $400 and $600 per individual.22 Adopting 12-month continuous eligibility for adults would reduce state Medicaid administrative costs by approximately $87 million.23 Since adopting continuous eligibility for adults, some states have already realized cost savings due to the substantially fewer staff hours needed to process reenrollments.24
Continuous eligibility also results in net savings. If all states had adopted 12-month continuous eligibility for adults, federal and state spending in 2024 would have increased by $479 million and $158 million, respectively.25 These amounts represent increases of only 0.1 percent in acute care for nonelderly Medicaid enrollees.2+ Households and employers, meanwhile, would each have saved about $1 billion a year in health care spending, and total spending would have declined by $1.8 billion in 2024.27
Continuous eligibility reduces enrollees’ health care costs and administrative burden. Research has found that, when compared to those with disrupted coverage, continuously covered individuals have lower monthly health care costs because of consistent access to medical care and medications that stabilize health conditions and prevent hospitalizations.28 Continuous eligibility also reduces the burden and stress for people who must navigate complex renewal or insurance transition processes, resulting in fewer lost workdays.29
Continuous eligibility is associated with better access to care and improved health outcomes. Enrollees with a full, stable year of Medicaid coverage have significantly less difficulty accessing medical care and medication from their network providers.30 Studies have found that people with 12 months of continuous eligibility are twice as likely to seek preventive care during the postpartum period, and are three times more likely to use mental health and substance use disorder services.31 Consequently, continuous coverage is associated with better health, fewer hospitalizations, and fewer ER visits.32