Medicaid is the federal–state public health insurance program created in 1965 to expand access to health services and improve outcomes for people with low income. One in five Americans are enrolled in Medicaid, ranging from 30 percent of adults in New Mexico to 8 percent of adults in Utah. The program is a critical source of health care for children, pregnant women, and people with disabilities.
While the federal government and the states jointly fund Medicaid, each state runs its own program, subject to federal requirements. States commonly give their Medicaid programs a unique name like STAR and STAR+PLUS in Texas or BadgerCare Plus in Wisconsin. While Medicaid constitutes a significant investment by states, it’s one that reaps massive rewards for state economies, residents, and enrollees.
How does Medicaid impact state economies?
Medicaid makes up a sizable share of states’ budgets while providing critical financial support to the health care sector and stimulating local economies. The program accounts for an average of 30 percent of state expenditures, ranging from 14 percent in Wyoming to 40 percent in North Carolina. Medicaid spending has grown over time, but more slowly than other components of state budgets, like education.
Medicaid investment is shown to have a “multiplier effect,” meaning that every dollar spent generates over a dollar’s worth of economic activity. Medicaid drives employment in the health care sector; generates state and local tax revenue; and saves money for enrollees, allowing them to spend more on items other than health care.
At the same time, reductions in Medicaid funding can negatively impact state tax revenue, employment, and individual spending power. Experts estimate that if the Medicaid cuts proposed by Congress in March 2025 — totaling $880 billion over 10 years — came to fruition, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) would decrease by $95 billion and tax revenue would decrease by $7 billion. The states likely to face the most significant economic losses include California, New York, Texas, Pennsylvania, and Ohio.
Medicaid’s economic impact is particularly apparent in states that have expanded Medicaid. Since 2014, 40 states and Washington, D.C., have expanded Medicaid eligibility to cover more people in exchange for additional federal funding, as allowed by the Affordable Care Act. Despite covering a higher number of people, expansion states have not seen significant increases in their state Medicaid spending and have even seen tax revenue increase and overall health care spending decline.
Medicaid expansion also can reduce state spending in other areas such as state corrections department spending, mental health and substance use programs, and uncompensated care for people who are uninsured. By covering mental health and substance use programs and shifting some costs of state corrections’ health care spending to Medicaid, expansion states have been able to cover services while generating Medicaid spending savings. In the first full fiscal year following expansion, Maryland saved $13.6 million on uncompensated care while also raising $26.6 million in new revenue.